Mohammed: PNM handling of Manning could hurt San Fernando election chances
GAIL ALEXANDER
Political analyst Dr Shane Mohammed says the PNM leadership’s handling of the matter involving San Fernando East MP Brian Manning, including the possibility of disciplinary action against him, could jeopardise the party’s chances of retaining control of the San Fernando City Corporation at the next Local Government elections.
The PNM currently holds five of the corporation’s nine seats, with the UNC holding the other four. Local Government elections are due by mid-2027.
Mohammed was commenting on Monday following reports by two teams appointed by the PNM leadership to investigate issues raised by Manning and San Fernando East (SFE) constituency chairman Patricia Alexis against each other.
The teams were headed by PNM deputy political leader Jennifer Baptiste-Primus and Ernest Esdelle.
Alexis and the SFE executive recently resigned. Manning was not given the reports, but was provided with their findings, which weighed largely against him. He subsequently submitted rebuttals to the PNM rejecting the findings.
PNM leadership officials said at a recent media conference that some party members wanted Manning disciplined for speaking out on the matter.
Amid reports that Manning could be referred to the PNM’s Investigations Committee following four to seven complaints, a number cited by PNM officials on Monday, Mohammed questioned the focus on the MP’s conduct.
“If sources said complaints came from members in several constituencies and alleged that Manning’s actions ‘brought the party into disrepute and damaged its public image’, the PNM should be more concerned about where the issues arose in the SFE constituency in the first place—which is the matter at hand—and fixing these. Not other constituencies,” he said.
“Also, such complaints can be easily manipulated by other MPs and the party hierarchy; therefore, this complaint, in my humble opinion, is flawed.”
Mohammed questioned whether the dispute should be treated solely as a Manning issue.
“Is this a Manning-alone issue? Or does this not call into question the work of the constituency executive and all other stakeholders involved?” he asked.
“Additionally, who in the PNM’s Central Executive has overall responsibility for administration? Where’s that office holder—a national executive member—in this entire scenario?”
He questioned whether someone at Balisier House was unaware of what was happening, was “hiding” or had “gone undetected”.
“And the question is why?” he asked.
On the committee’s warning that the continuing Manning-Alexis dispute was inimical to the PNM’s continued success in SFE, Mohammed questioned whether the party leadership should have allowed the matter to escalate.
“Is there an understanding that, in the interest of PNM members, SFE’s constituents and the building of the PNM’s national structure, this issue should not have escalated into an impasse?” he asked.
“It cannot simply be placed solely in the hands of the MP that an impasse ensued.”
Mohammed said the responsibility lay with the entire party leadership to ensure that the constituency did not become isolated.
“It was for the party’s leadership—not only its leader, but the entire leadership—to have dealt with issues arising in a manner whereby SFE did not become isolated, whilst also recognising that SFE survived a wave of UNC yellow when PNM strongholds La Brea and Point Fortin were swept away in a sea of yellow,” he said.
On the finding that there was no functional working relationship between Manning and Alexis, Mohammed questioned whether that relationship existed before the 2025 general election.
“If this existed before the 2025 general election, then Manning can be credited with winning the seat on his own merit, structures and personnel—not so?” he asked.
“But given the 2023 LG results and the 2025 GE results in San Fernando, what will the PNM say are its chances of retaining San Fernando City Corporation in LG elections?”
Mohammed said the leadership’s handling of the matter could have electoral consequences for the PNM in San Fernando.
“The leadership’s handling of this entire matter and the fact that Alexis was apparently allowed free rein to be a ‘runaway horse’ with the constituency/executive, the slim chances of the corporation being retained by PNM and the decline of its standing in San Fernando can very well fall on her shoulders, especially since her June 10 complaint against Manning was received by the leadership first, initiating the matter, before Manning’s June 16 counter-complaint about her,” he said.
Mohammed also questioned the finding that the SFE constituency could be under threat because of Manning’s “dwindling popularity”.
“There are instances in the past where unpopular MPs have returned as candidates and successfully defended their seats—Fitzgerald Hinds, Colm Imbert,” he said.
“What scientific fact-finding did the committee do to determine the causes or possibilities of ‘dwindling popularity’? Is it sufficient to assume this when compared to the whole Opposition?”
Mohammed also provided a listing of PNM MPs and their margins of victory.
UNC moves in San Fernando East
FILE – The UNC’s Marabella West councillor, John Michael Alibocus, delivering school supplies to school children in his district.
The UNC’s 2025 San Fernando East general election candidate John Michael Alibocus was on the ground in the constituency last weekend, distributing stationery supplies to families ahead of the new school term.
Alibocus, the UNC’s Marabella West councillor, was photographed last Sunday with a Cocoyea family to whom he gave gift bags for students.
“I’m on the ground, in the heart of SFE, and watching events there,” Alibocus said.
In the 2025 general election, Alibocus lost to Manning by 673 votes.
Manning, meanwhile, dismissed Alibocus’ prospects, saying:
“He’ll have a hard time even holding Marabella West in Local Government elections since his burgesses lost their CEPEP and URP jobs.”