Progressive Democratic Patriots (PDP) leader Watson Duke yesterday stayed mum on his party’s plans for January 12 THA election, and two political analysts believe his action may signal the end of his decade-long political career.
Duke has barely said a word since his defeat in the April 28 General Election, and even more so after Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar revealed that he had asked her for a job.
Contacted by Guardian Media yesterday for a comment on his party’s future after Chief Secretary Farley Augustine announced the election date on Monday night, Duke declined to comment, saying he will “break his silence when he is ready and when the time is right.”
But weeks before, he told Guardian Media he was readying his party and intimately selecting his candidates in his quest to regain power after a fallout between himself and Farley Augustine in 2022 led to the latter breaking ranks with the PDP and forming the Tobago People’s Party.
Yesterday, political analyst Dr Bishnu Ragoonath said he believes Duke may be reconsidering whether to contest this year’s THA election at all. He said Duke could be weighing the possibility of another loss after the PDP’s heavy decline in voter support.
“He may think it is not worthy for him to put himself up where he could be defeated,” Dr Ragoonath said.
“Any politician is going into that battle with the belief that they will win. If, however, you start off thinking that it’s a challenge, he may very well decide to sit this one out.”
Ragoonath noted that Duke’s strongest base remains in Roxborough but questioned whether that support is enough for the PDP to even capture a seat.
Political analyst Dr Winford James was more direct, saying Duke has already stepped back from the election.
“I told you that he is not going to participate in these elections,” James said.
He added that Duke’s political challenges stem partly from admissions he made after the General Election.
“Remember that he asked Kamala for a job,” James said. “Once you begin to do that, you can’t be chief secretary.”
James also said Duke’s past political decisions continue to affect him, including his public claim that he “built” and “owns” the PDP.
“People in Tobago are very outspoken,” he said.
“I don’t think they like the idea that one man is saying, ‘This is my party. I built it.’”
He said Duke’s actions and internal conflicts from previous years have also left long memories among voters.
“People remember, and he cannot win back enough people to unseat Farley,” he said.
Both analysts agreed that Duke’s silence is not a political strategy but a sign of retreat, leaving the PDP without a clear presence in the race.
However, with the Innovative Democratic Alliance stepping forward, the TPP defending its record, and the People’s National Movement positioning itself for a comeback, the analysts said the absence of Duke may not shift the political landscape in favour of any single party.